pilot results Category

Forecasting together, when no one has a clue.

for groups to do well, there has to be some basic knowledge within group members

Forecasting, better together

by Dardo Ferreiro and Guillaume Dezecache Predicting the future is very hard. On TV, newspapers and social media many claim to predict the results of political elections, football games, etc. but serious research has shown that over time, celebrity pundits and star analysts are no better than flipping a coin. To appreciate the difficulty of […]